Last 7 days
64
observed
How hard the weather is pushing pest demand in Houston right now, on a 0 to 100 scale where 100 is peak-season demand and 30 is the winter floor that never goes away.
Houston sits at 69 this week, right on its five-year normal for mid October. The forecast has it holding near 71 next week. This is the fall slide. On a normal year Houston drops under 50 the week of Nov 12, 4 weeks out. From here the normal gives back another 34 points to a floor of 33 by January. Demand falls faster than most budgets do, and the slide is where spend runs ahead of the market.
On a normal year pest season in Houston starts building the week of Feb 19, when the Pest Pressure Index clears 40 off its winter floor, and is fully on by the week of Mar 26, when it crosses 50, half of peak. It peaks at 89 the week of Jul 23 and drops back under 50 the week of Nov 12.
One email a week: this number, which way it is heading, and what that means for the next three weeks. Houston only.
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This is the market's half of the math. The Almanac runs your half: your spend and your signed customers, graded against this same curve. See the Almanac
The Pest Pressure Index converts daily temperature into pest demand: nothing below a 48°F daily mean, rising to full demand at 86°F, easing in extreme heat, with a winter floor of 30. Weekly readings average the daily values. In Houston the model tracks five years of "pest control" search interest at r=0.88; across 62 metros it runs r=0.93. It measures the market, not any one company.
Weather data: Open-Meteo. Search interest: Google Trends, Greater Houston market. Readings are the engine's own output and contain no company's advertising or customer data.